Ben Bernanke: "Recession Likely Over"
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
"From a technical perspective, the recession is very likely over at this point," Bernanke told a conference at the Brookings Institution. But "it's still going to feel like a very weak economy for some time."
Bernanke said global regulators acted swiftly in the wake of last September's financial crisis and succeeded in bringing the global economy back from the brink of collapse. There is no longer widespread fear of a financial collapse and economic activity is leveling out, he added.
Very interesting. The same regulators who didn't see the biggest economic implosion since the Great Depression (so far) coming are now declaring that the coast is clear. Sorry for being skeptical, but given Ben Bernanke's dubious track record, I would be very, very cautious at this point.
Now that pretty much everyone has declared the recession to be over, it's getting very lonely in the bear camp. The widespread bullishness I'm seeing now is not too different from the bullishess I saw in 2007, when anyone calling for a recession was mocked. Still, I want to be unequivocal here: further shocks to our economy are coming. As time allows, I will try to lay out the case for Depression further.



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